New Alberta poll: UCP support holds strong amid economic concerns

Data scientist John Santos from Janet Brown Opinion Research joined host Rishi Nagar on Good Morning Calgary to break down the latest Alberta poll.

Santos discussed the unusually long “honeymoon period” for the UCP, and explained that the party’s strong numbers reflect both its own performance and weaknesses within the Alberta NDP. He noted that Premier Danielle Smith continues to hold solid approval despite rising cost-of-living concerns, which have yet to significantly impact government support.

The conversation also highlighted federal dynamics, with Mark Carney showing unusually strong approval in Alberta—largely attributed to personal appeal rather than party strength—while Pierre Poilievre sees a dip in favourability.

Santos pointed to leadership and messaging challenges for Naheed Nenshi and suggested voters appear to be “shopping around,” signalling potential volatility ahead of the next provincial election. While current trends favour the UCP, he noted key shifts in approval and voter priorities will determine whether this advantage holds.